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an inference test with late night ice cream

Qwyen Le

i stare at my ready to melt and die

beloved ice cream dessert

last time i checked

i didn’t know you were telling me

that this was your last time


[ friend A is supposedly moving

away from town. desolate person

B hopes they’ll be 25 miles away ]


we’re there at the ice cream parlor

and the sunset fades away

i wonder if everything recently become a

quiet little lie you were telling me and

yourself that everything will be

fine and forever


[ H0: μ = 25

Ha: μ > 25 where μ is the

true mean amount of miles

friend A will be located

α = 0.05 ]


i always get one strawberry scoop

and one matcha scoop

as pink and green go nicely

while you’re a rocky road type of

rebel since day one


[ one sample t-test for μ

Random: one individual thought will

not determine the value of another

10%: not necessary when 107 feelings

are infinitely cluttered

Normal/Large counts: data shows no

strong skewness or outliers ]


i pretend that i enjoy the scent

of nostalgia wrapping my eyes

each time i blink and live

but you’ll never know how much

you really meant to me

you take your last bite of the cone

but i’m not even finished


[ t-test gives x̄ = 150, sx = 9.6

t = (50-25) / (9.6/sqrt 107) = 26.938

df = 107-1 =106

p ≈ 0 ]


you laugh it off and say that

nothing will ever come between us

your soft smile against the faint

stars where all my wishes are

i wait for you to leave even though

i have better things to do

a cloud of doubt settles


[ since p ≈ 0 < α = 0.05,

we reject H0. there is convincing

evidence that friend A will move more

than 25 miles away from town ]


sickness gnaws at me even

though you text me with all these hopes

of meeting again

i know what happens when you’re the

one to leave if i calculated

and based on that experiment

years ago

Qwyen (pronounced “quinn”) is a junior in high school. She hopes to pursue computer science and statistics in the future. Besides escaping the world with writing, she loves listening to music, doomscrolling, and using Notion.

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