observer’s note:

the following distribution can be modelled with a binomial distribution:

X~B(∞, 0.1)

let X represent the number of times we can hold this together.

h0: we are fine. there is nothing to fear. all will be well in the end.

h1: nothing is fine. we are crumbling. i miss you too much.

x=1

p(X=x) = 0.6812

[observer's note: test subjects remain friendly and fights were limited to scraps in the mud. no longstanding tension; mutual trust formed.] [i fought you in the half-dried riverbed. snarled, spat, & then made peace before bed-time. scrapes on knees & love like hunger.]

x=2

p(X=x) = 0.2003

[observer's note: test subjects young enough that time apart left minimal impression. both in desperate need of companionship. progress further into this test appears promising at this stage.] [careless limbs. hurtle & chase & curl up warm to survive the winter shoulder to shoulder. nobody else matters.]

x=3

p(X=x) = 0.0798

[observer's note: test subjects significantly more challenged. subject (a) isolating themself. subject (b) too preoccupied with variable (i). difficulties ahead as the subjects continue to age.] [i said too much // you said too little. is a person still home when there’s nowhere else to turn? am i still home? are you still home?]

x=4

p(X=x) = 0.0105

[observer's note: predictions have proven accurate. trial (x=3) was overcome, however doubts  are established. subject (b) unwilling to confide in subject (a). tensions are growing.] [we both wrote & burned our apology letters. sorry sorry sorry. it wasn't your//my fault. messages typed out then backspaced. sorry sorry sorry.]

x=5

p(X=x) = ???

[observer's note: trial (x=5) has yet to be overcome. current predictions suggest futility. an inevitable failure. both subjects refusing to engage. fallout imminent.] [i miss hate you. you hate miss me. let's try again // let's try again. i'm ready now // let's try again.]

conclusion: likely accept h1 – reject h0 as insufficient evidence to retain it. test subjects to be released tomorrow morning. chances of success remain minimal. they are unlikely to hold it together any longer. a tragedy for my data set. [i'll take your hand if you offer it. remember when you clambered out, glittering and shining, & for a second we froze? & i almost held my hand out & i know you won't take it. couldn’t take it, wouldn’t take it. it's only statistics in the end.]